Life is a process!

Indian military officials disclosed on the 27th , India plans to start next month to hold military exercises in the region near the Pakistan border .
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Jagger Deep Daxi Ya , military spokesman , said the military exercise code-named

The Daxi Ya told AFP reporters, about 20,000 soldiers , 200 Russian – made ​​tanks as well as the newest fighter jets will take part in the exercise , the Indian Army

Exercises involving tanks , combat vehicles , artillery , helicopters, fighter jets , unmanned aerial vehicles , air defense weapons and radar equipment in accordance with the military in a statement .

A military sources declined to be named , said the exercise area is less than 200 km from the India-Pakistan border .

Adjacent border areas between the two countries has always been sensitive to the situation . Bilateral relations after the Indian city of Mumbai terrorist attacks in 2008 fell to rock bottom . India refers to identify the attackers were Pakistani extremist groups , leading to the parties to a comprehensive dialogue to interrupt . Between the two countries early last year to restart the dialogue, the relationship gradually subsided .

The Daxi Ya deny the latest exercise program will lead to the relations between the two sides once again tight .

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BEIJING , Dec. 22 , according to Japan’s Kyodo News reported , the U.S. Air Force 22, open to the media implemented at Guam’s Andersen Air Force Base, Japan Air Self Defense Force and U.S. Air Force , Royal Australian Air Force ‘s first joint training .

the training of air combat , air defense , electronic warfare , and respond to large – scale disasters .
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The training began on the 11th of this month , will end on the 24th , about 330 of the Japan Air Self Defense Force , about 400 of the U.S. Air Force and Royal Australian Air Force of about 300 people attended . Training base to Anderson as the center and its surrounding Northeast airspace and air-to-ground shooting range .

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Xinhua , Beijing , February 23 ( Reporter Wang Jingguo the Yang ) Chinese Defense Ministry spokesman Geng Yansheng , 23 , will not exceed the national security needs and the affordability of the development of military power, will not be an arms race with any other country .
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British

He said China has always adhered to the principle of coordinated development of national defense construction and economic construction , according to the needs of national security and national economic development level is reasonable to determine the size of the defense budget .

said

Geng Yansheng , the rapid development of science and technology today , the weapons and equipment necessary replacement is a very normal , China is no exception . The

, China in recent years, some new weapons and equipment involved in a number of foreign military operations and played an active role in safeguarding world peace and stability , he said.

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Beijing, February 21 : 2012 Students soldiers cadet from today started the soldiers of the army college students can browse in the army political work network and the Air Force cadet net the basic conditions are invited to participate in the selection .
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Selection of flight students from the Students soldiers , military flight personnel selection and training of a new road . 2011 , Headquarters issued a notification Students soldiers cadet scope and basic conditions were clear: under the age of 25 years of age (as of June 30 that year ) , unmarried men ; the military academies to recruit political conditions and physical health of the student pilot examination , psychological testing and other selection criteria ; enlisted to participate in the national college entrance exam before , undergraduate first batch of provincial admissions office , the second batch of unified admission , when the college entrance examination scores in the second batch of the province ( autonomous regions and municipalities ) in regular undergraduate control points or more , access to full – time undergraduate degree and a bachelor’s degree or graduate degree and a master’s degree and professional for the University , or other professional with advanced mathematics, physics -based lesson .

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Indian Air Force in recent years from strength to strength against the strength of the PLA in recent years has been spending lots of money purchasing a lot of advanced weapons and equipment, such as the recent decision of the procurement of 126 French gust fighter, but most Indian fighter in service too long, lack of industrial maintenance and lack of advanced training aircraft, and other issues, making it the place of the new fighter is difficult to quickly combat.
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Overview

U.S. strategic forecasting, February 11 Journal article said that the end of last month, the French Dassault Aviation announced that won the 126 Rafale fighter bids to supply India in the next 10 years. The article pointed out that the Indian Air Force in recent years adopted a series of initiatives to upgrade and enhance its ability to solve many potential problems before the Indian Air Force will continue to face significant limitations.

India’s new fighter procurement aimed at the CMB

The article said that the January 31, French Dassault Aviation announced that the Indian medium-sized multi-role fighter (MMRCA) competition to select its Rafale fighter. If this is carried out smoothly, then $ 10.4 billion worth of contract negotiations, Dassault Aviation will be within 10 years India’s supply of 126 aircraft which is expected to Currently, the two sides have not yet signed the final contract. India’s first batch of 18 fighters will be purchased directly from Dassault Aviation, the remaining fighters will be India’s state-owned Hindustan Aeronautics Limited in Bangalore, conversion and production. Medium-sized multi-role fighter competition is the latest developments in the Indian Air Force, a series of major upgrades and improvement projects, especially in the procurement of advanced aircraft and troops as a whole infrastructure improvements, the purpose is to enhance the ability of the Indian Air Force. However, most of the Indian Air Force aircraft are now obsolete, and the overall force structure is being degraded. To make matters worse, the status of the Indian Air Force flight training. Flight training, maintenance problems and the restrictions imposed by the large bureaucracy become very complex. Although the new aircraft is an important component of the modernization of Indian Air Force, but it still faces potential challenges are equally important and powerful forces.

The article said that the October 8, 1932, the Indian Air Force was formally established. India since independence in 1947, the Indian Air Force participated in the four games of the war to Pakistan and a war against China. These conflicts with Pakistan and China and continuing tensions in the Indian Air Force emphasis on maintaining large-scale force structure, in order to respond to large-scale conventional war with the enemy air force and ground forces. This makes it very necessary to continue to buy large numbers of aircraft and reconnaissance and ground attack aircraft. In addition, given the huge scale of the combat potential battlefield as well as more general transport infrastructure, the Indian Air Force since the 1950s has been stressed to maintain effective logistical support. Indian Air Force has five combatant commands, and the two headquarters. Among them, two Combat Command for Pakistan, two against China, the fifth, also the newly formed one, namely, the Southern Command, was established in 1984, focusing on action in the Indian Ocean, although this action is still the Indian Navy Air Force’s primary areas of responsibility.

The article said that since the 1960s, the Indian Air Force is increasingly dependent on Soviet equipment and materials. India has two major procurement period: 1963 to 1971, India purchased the MiG, Tupolev and Sukhoi fighters, and the Soviet MiG fighter is very prominent in the modernization project in 1978 to 1988. However, the British Jaguar attack aircraft introduced in 1979 and 1985, the introduction of the French Mirage-2000 fighter two exceptions purchases. In addition to the procurement of Russian Su-30MKI fighters in 2002, the Indian Air Force since the 1980s did not give its fighter fleet Tim had any equipment. In fact, from 1978 to 1988 during the modernization project which fighter procurement or have already retired, or in need of repair. Therefore, the Indian Air Force is developing some models of aircraft modernization and major programs to newer and more advanced fighter to replace the other fighter.

For the 40 Su-30MKI fighter upgrade

The article said that in addition to competition in the medium multi-role fighter, the Indian Air Force has also launched a Indian Air Force has also invested nearly $ 1 billion to the modernization of MiG-29 multi-purpose MiG-29UPG variants. In addition, in July 2010, the Indian Air Force to finalize a deal to upgrade its French Mirage 2000 Mirage -2000-5 the Mk2 variant, and in January 2012, India decided to purchase 490 Mirage (MICA) air to air missiles. Beginning in 2020, the Indian Air Force plans to introduce 250 to 300 fifth-generation stealth fighter, India is working with Russia to jointly develop these fighters, but still at a very early development stage. The project cost about $ 35 billion, is expected to become so far India’s most expensive defense project. With these future purchases, the Indian Air Force is expected to in 2022 to 42 Squadron, Indian Air Force squadrons per cent more about 10 Squadron. In contrast, Pakistan is believed to have less than 20 fixed-wing fighter squadron.

The article said that, in addition to the modernization and improvement of its fixed-wing fighter formation, the Indian Air Force is also seeking to improve its transport and air refueling forces. As of February 2011, the Indian Air Force to drive 6 IL-78MKI tanker, but because of the squadron number of ever-increasing and force delivery needs, the Indian Air Force was launched in 2010 nearly $ 2 billion multi-purpose fuel / transport competition contract. 6 for the Indian Air Force tanker. Indian Air Force to improve its transport aircraft fleet in June 2011 signed a contract worth $ 4.1 billion, to buy 10 C-17 In 2008, the Indian Air Force signed a value of nearly $ 1,000,000,000 of transactions, the purchase of six C-130J transport aircraft, and is currently seeking to buy six of the same type of transport aircraft. In addition, the Indian Air Force also intends to strength doubling its airborne early warning and control aircraft, airborne early warning and control aircraft only three In addition, India has also made many involving airborne early warning / control aircraft Request for Proposal, and eventually hope to have 24 domestic airborne early warning / control.

Indian Air Force weapons combat power conversion required three off

The article said that despite a large number of modernization projects and procurement, but the Indian Air Force are still subject to the limitations of many acute problems. If you are not fully resolved these restrictions will impede the Indian Air Force to take full advantage of its new infrastructure and equipment. A major problem for the Indian Air Force is very high in its fleet crash and accident rates. The most recent accident occurred on January 31, was a Kiran MK II trainer aircraft during the flight explosion. (Two pilots successfully escaped). In 2011 alone, India’s Defence Force has suffered at least 12 since the crash. The high crash rate of the Indian Air Force from the three main factors. The first is the question of the age for driving many models of aircraft. For example, the MiG-21, be fitted out for the first time the Indian Air Force in 1964, and this aircraft is not only one of the Indian Air Force Driving the largest number of fighters, but also is expected to service a few years.

The article said that there is a problem is the poor industrial maintenance. In November 2011, the first Indian astronaut Rakesh Sharma condemned the public defense companies planning imperfect (in India known as enterprise infrastructure, but there is no technical expertise. Sharma said that if he detected fighter parts defective fighters will be returned to the laboratory, but he soon found that no laboratory research and development of these parts, but keep them in the other fighter. Resulting in high crash rate of the third factor is the state of the Indian Air Force trainer aircraft fleet. India’s National Audit Office pointed out that in 2008 the Indian Air Force is facing an acute shortage of effective pilot failed to implement quality training. National Audit Office condemned the lack of a sufficient number of advanced trainer is because the Indian Air Force. Most of the Indian Air Force trainer aircraft fleet of domestic production by Hindustan Aeronautics platform. These aircraft proved to be inadequate in large part, and not up to expectations. For example, in 2009, of HPT-32

The article said that the lack of training in formation has forced the Indian Air Force pilot in the Kiran trainer aircraft of the Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (basic training on the jet engine-driven). In contrast, most Western pilots began training on equipment turboprop training aircraft, followed by training in jet engine-driven training on. Due to the age and quality issues, and even more advanced Kiran trainer aircraft fleet did not prove sufficient. Indian Air Force training school in Hyderabad, reportedly less than 100 Kiran trainer aircraft. The more serious a development is the lack of trainer aircraft, Indian Air Force to reduce the time of flight of a new pilot to the usual one-third (usually the flight time of 75 hours, reducing to 25 hours). In contrast, the U.S. Air Force to provide its students with the basic training of more than 100 flight hours. Allegedly, in the past two years, the number of basic training when the number of even drop lower, but now due to better resource management, has been stable. Indian Air Force to seek ways to maximize their training fleet is one of the training some variants of MiG -21 trainer pilot.

The article said that in the next few years, this trend may be reversed. Indian Air Force is seeking to obtain a large number of two-seat Hawk advanced jet trainer, of which about 55 have been fitted out in the Indian Air Force for use as a trainer. The trainer ordered in March 2004, but bureaucratic problems delayed its procurement and the introduction of. In addition, the Indian Air Force selection of the Swiss PC-7 trainer as a basic training in its next subsection aircraft before delivery, may have to wait at least three years. The article concludes that the Indian Air Force is trying to improve its capacity by upgrading its existing aircraft and equipment and the purchase of new aircraft, this effort may be more successful. However, the Indian Air Force will face a major potential challenge

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According to the Navy observation site reported on February 14, 2012 in Japan on January 27, 2012 in Yokohama, Ishikawajima- Harima Heavy Industries held a keel laying ceremony for the helicopter carrier, the MSDF vessels 22DDH . Japan now has two helicopter carriers, A new class helicopter carrier tonnage greater.
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22DDH class helicopter carrier, entered service in 2015 . Captain of the ship is 248 meters at a cost of $ 1.04 billion . Than 197 meters of the captain , a displacement of 13,500 tons , can carry 11 helicopters

The ship will be equipped with the most advanced U.S. weapons systems to enhance their combat capability . The ship will be equipped with Raytheon ‘s air defense and missile defense systems . The new carrier will be equipped for anti-submarine warfare helicopter . Seek to amend the 22DDH helicopter carrier designed to carry fighter jets the voice getting higher and higher , but commentators have said that the quantitative restrictions under the current budgetary constraints and the Maritime Self-Defense Force of 45,000 personnel , the Maritime Self Defense Force to build aircraft carriers is not reality.

The 22DDH class helicopter carriers in lightship displacement of 19,500 tons full load displacement of 27,000 tons , Captain 248 meters , 38 meters wide ship speed of 30 , including crew and combat troops can carry a total of 970 , can carry up to 14 helicopters

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The Iranian parliament in the 29th to discuss a bill, the bill may be laid as early as next week to stop oil exports to the EU. At the same time, U.S. media reported that the U.S. Defense Department is the implementation of the upgrading of the U.S. military arsenal in the giant earth penetrator
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There are indications that around the Iranian nuclear issue, the opposition of the West and Iran growing, sparked concerns about a new outbreak of military conflict in the Gulf region. Analysts believe that both sides are playing a dangerous game of a cross between war and peace. Well, this game will be out of control?

A 70% chance of miscarriage of justice caused by the conflict

Infested Gulf from Iran to hold military exercises to the U.S. aircraft carrier, from the United States, Britain, Israel did not give up military options to senior Iranian officials again threatened to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, the Iranian oil embargo to Iran from Europe and the United States to the early termination to the European The oil in the Gulf region shrouded in dark clouds of conflict.

War between the West and Iran?

Russia’s Any party to the act of provocation or miscarriage of justice may lead to military conflict. The two sides eventually the possibility of military conflict broke out 70%.

Sa Ren, a researcher at the Russian Academy of Sciences Institute of Oriental Studies, believes that if Iran block the Strait of Hormuz, the Western countries as a declaration of war, the United States certainly will be the Iran military retaliation. In addition, blockade of the straits would allow Iran to complete loss of oil export revenues. Therefore, the relationship will be maintained at the state of neither war nor peace.

Experts O’Hanlon of the Brookings Institution, Foreign and Security Policy, said the outbreak of military conflict is unlikely, but not impossible, if Iran continues to advance its nuclear program, Israel may eventually decide to attack.

A Yadi, European Policy Research Center, Middle East expert, believes that the West is unlikely to take military action against Iran, the UN Security Council on Iran, the formation of the unified will of the different political aspirations and economic interests of all parties concerned, the unilateral action of any party will not work, which is actually non-military means to resolve the Iranian nuclear issue on insurance.

Bruce Kennedy Heights, vice president of the Russian Council on Foreign Relations, that the war is not inevitable. This is because: first, the United States has just concluded its military operations in Iraq, is currently unable to go to war against Iran; second, with serious consequences for war against Iran will give the entire Middle East region and the Muslim world; Third, America’s European allies is not very supportive to launch a military strike against Iran.

Negotiations re-opened compromise may only possible

Moment a shadow of conflict in the Gulf region, the international community expects the parties concerned the resumption of Iran nuclear talks. Such expectations can become a reality?

A Yadi that the EU sanctions against Iraq and Iran’s counter-measures that the opposition of the two sides to further deepen, greatly reduce the possibility of Iran to return to the negotiating table.

Safarov, Russia Modern Iranian Studies director of the Center, also believes that the new round of sanctions will not allow Iran to make concessions on the nuclear issue, but will make Iran to postpone negotiations.

Tehran University political science professor 齐巴卡拉姆 views to the contrary. He said that Iran in the situation of the External and hope to restart the nuclear talks, a new round of negotiations may soon restart, and Iran is likely to make some concessions.

In fact, since the beginning of this month, Iranian officials have repeatedly called to restart the nuclear talks, negotiations and suggested that in Turkey.

For the resumption of negotiations, the international community is also working. A high level delegation of the International Atomic Energy Agency on the 29th visit to Iran, to discuss the nuclear issue controversial. China, Russia and Turkey, has successively called on all parties to resolve the Iranian nuclear issue through dialogue.

The key question is, even if nuclear talks to restart, the West and Iran to reach a compromise?

The United States and Israel’s ultimate goal is to force Iran to abandon its uranium enrichment program, in order to completely eliminate the possibility of its development of nuclear weapons. Modern Russian director of the Research Center of Iran Safarov, Iran’s nuclear program embodies all the will of the people of Iran, and is regarded as a symbol of national sovereignty and independence. Therefore, Iran will not make the decision to halt its nuclear program.

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According to the Russian military news network reported on February 2, Chinese experts believe that the end of 2011 the public display of the latest model of the MBT-2000 foreign main battle tanks in the world leading level on the technical level, in all performance indisputably far better than major competitors in the Russian T-90S.
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Russian media said the chief architect of the MBT-2000 foreign trade tanks in China Feng Yibai the 2012 January issue of weapons. He pointed out that an important advantage of the new tank is the motor performance significantly improved, 12-cylinder 4-stroke new 150 diesel engine, maximum power of 1200 hp. Although the Chinese experts did not specify the source of the Tank Engine, but it is clearly the introduction of the Ukrainian products, rather than the domestic power plant. The new tank off-road speeds of up to 71 km / h, higher-speed highway driving. Its superior powertrain performance, even more than abroad, the maximum power of 1500 hp engine system must be good. And this new engine is more economical and practical, specific fuel consumption of only 215 g / kWh, and 15 g / kWh lower than the MBT-2000 Basic. China’s new foreign trade tanks weight less than 51 tons. As of November 2011, new tanks in the testing process has been traveled over 5700 km without any major fault, which first a kind of car passed the 400 kilometers of continuous driving test in the field environment.

Russian media said the MBT-2000 new foreign trade tank artillery without any major changes, because the previous models of the domestic 125 mm gun is technically quite mature, and many similar products abroad, is a world leader. The most important innovation of China’s new tank is to increase the ability to launch artillery missiles, automatic loading machine is also a corresponding improvement. The chief architect the Pingyi Bai pointed out, the reason why the ability to give new tanks fired artillery missiles, primarily to meet the requirements of individual users. The number of foreign clients insist on the configuration of artillery missiles, some users do not have a similar request. Soviet designers had developed tanks and artillery missiles, products with the Soviet Union in the fire control system, significant gaps with the West, and therefore must find ways to compensate for the disadvantage of their tanks in remote artillery. If you have an advanced, high-precision fire control system, or high-speed armor-piercing ammunition for tanks at war. Chinese new tank with a new common sights, and can be used to launch artillery missiles, not only simplifies the operation of the gunner, but also reduces the indoor space battle. In contrast, the Russian T-90S tanks, artillery and missiles, each set of sights, is not that big battle room space is even more narrow.

Russian media said the IT level of application of the new tank to achieve higher standards. Which driver to use two displays, the left side of the chassis display parameters and the electronic map, the right of the display image of an uncooled thermal imager. The gunner using a monitor can be used to observe the target, showing the fire parameters. Bus captains also have two displays, one for receiving the battlefield situation information from the optical observation equipment, and one that can display a variety of information for the entire vehicle subsystem. This tank is also equipped with a switch inside the car, unified voice, data, images and other information, has created favorable conditions for the integration of different countries, a variety of communications equipment.

Russian media said the new tank’s armor protection levels were significantly strengthened. It uses a passive protection system consisting of basic armor, composite armor and additional armor, frontal armor thickness can be compared with the German Leopard 2 China’s new tank is also equipped with reactive armor, laser warning systems, the use of modern smoke-grenade launchers. Fengyi Bai said, popular abroad, tank hard kill active protection system, the only effective prevention of lower flight speed of the target, such as rocket-propelled grenades, anti-tank missiles, not intercept high-speed penetrators. Some countries claim to be able to intercept the penetrators, in fact, it is difficult to do. If necessary, the Chinese new tank can increase the firing point and smoke launchers were added to armor, enhanced mobility, thereby improving the viability of the tanks in the street battle.

Russian media said, Pingyi Bo pointed out that China’s new foreign trade tanks in all performance more than the Russian T-90S. For example, in motor performance, the T-90S engine power is only 900 horsepower, and a mechanical gearbox, far less than the tank. He also admits that China’s new foreign trade tanks higher due to configuration, so the price a bit high, more expensive than the MBT-2000 basic products. But this tank high cost, can still be accepted by the market. Some countries have sent delegations to visit the new tanks, armored corps, director of a country and even personally test drive, and given a high rating. The competitive advantage of the new tank is the integration of hydraulic mechanical transmission, steering wheel-style manipulation and automatic transmission, fully in line with the modern world, tank manufacturing, higher configuration standards. Moreover, the new tank is equipped with air conditioning and ventilation equipment, the car more comfortable working conditions. Car length of space and

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U.S. military and the U.S. Boeing Aircraft Company in 2009 signed a contract to manufacture 20 bombs to destroy underground facilities by the latter. About 6.2 meters long such a bomb, carrying about 2.4 tons of explosives carried by the B-2 stealth bomber, with a maximum penetration depth of about 61 meters.
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The military estimates, Sherlock Road, Iran uranium enrichment plant deep underground in the mountains at least 61 meters.

Air Force in September last year to receive the first Earth Penetrator. More bombs will undergo further testing, is expected to be delivered in 2013. Department of Defense has so far invested about $ 330 million R & D Earth Penetrator, to the Congress in the middle of this month to apply for a secret $ 82 million of funds used to improve and to intensify the fight against depth.

U.S. Secretary of Defense, Leon Panetta, 26, told the Wall Street Journal reporter existing earth penetrator The Founder improved earth penetrator from the developed

U.S. military to prepare for the use of force

U.S. finds Iran a civil nuclear program as a cover to develop nuclear weapons, Iraq imposition of sanctions, while not excluding the use of force against the possibility. Iraq denied that the U.S. statement, warning each other, the use of force would invite retaliation.

U.S. President Barack Obama, the 24th State of the Union speech, said:

U.S. officials step up the development of contingency plans to prepare for a possible military strike, improved earth penetrating bomb is part of the contingency plans. A listen to Earth Penetrator improved funding applications report said the U.S. Central Command intends to prepare as soon as the use of force, improved earth penetrator

Hui Xiaoshuang (Xinhua Zhuangao)

Observed

Conventional weapons or difficult to break the Iranian nuclear facilities

Former senior official told the Wall Street Journal reporter in a United States military is particularly concerned about the ability to destroy Iran nuclear facilities located in the mountain body, especially the Sherlock Road underground uranium enrichment plant. The plant is located near the Iranian holy city of Qom, surrounding the deployment of air defense missiles, increasing the difficulty of the United States to combat.

Some weapons experts say, Earth Penetrator to combat the effects depends on many factors, including the thickness of the target above the soil and rock types, and thus improved Earth Penetrator difficult. Defense Secretary Panetta acknowledged,

U.S. officials believe that, in addition to earth penetrator, other means can also be hysteresis Iran’s nuclear program. A senior official said, to obtain accurate position information, the U.S. military to launch precision-guided munitions to destroy the nuclear facilities, entrances, and thus delay the Iraqi nuclear program.

The official disclosed that some military officials believe that the formulation of operational plans, conventional weapons can not effectively deal with the Sherlock Road, nuclear facilities, tactical nuclear weapons may be the only means.

Hui Xiaoshuang (Xinhua Zhuangao)

Related News

America intends to repatriate the mobile base to go to the Gulf

Plans to transform ten thousand tons amphibious ships against mines

The U.S. military intends to warship transformed into a maritime mobile base, a short time sent to the Middle East waters, as a platform for special forces launched operations.

The U.S. military intends to

Navy spokesman Franz Kafka said, it will provide support for minesweepers, small patrol vessels and aircraft.

The growing tension around Iran’s nuclear program, U.S. relations with Iran. Iraq warned, it may blockade the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. Department of Defense officials believe that Iraq decided to block offshore oil channel, the use of mines.

Hui Xiaoshuang (Xinhua Zhuangao)

News Links

Verification of the delegation arrived in Iraq to talk about

Plans to stay for three days, to discuss the military aspects of its nuclear program

According to the Xinhua News Agency-International Atomic Energy Agency a high level delegation arrived in Tehran, Iran in the early morning of the 29th, will be with Iran to discuss the contentious issue of Iran’s nuclear program.

Reporters in Tehran, Khomeini International Airport in the early morning the day to see a total of more than 10 police cars and two vans to greet the delegation. As the delegation left the airport through a special channel, waiting eagerly for the airport exit hours of media reporters ultimately outsmarted.

Hermann, Deputy Director-General of this delegation from the International Atomic Energy Agency in charge of the affairs of verification the Na Keci headed expected to stay in Iran for three days. Nake Ci to Iran, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) attempted to resolve all outstanding issues with Iran to a nuclear program

Soltanieh, Iran’s Permanent Mission of the International Atomic Energy Agency on behalf of the 27th, the International Atomic Energy Agency, traveling to Iraq to

International Atomic Energy Agency released a report on November 8 last year that Iran, at least before the end of 2003, had an organized and systematic a clear conclusion.

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The reporter were Mou Tsung Huang Peizhao Jie Ding Dawei Ding Xiaoxi Li Weihong newspaper in Islamabad, Cairo, Brussels, Madrid, New York, Beijing, January 29, according to a number of Members said Iran is scheduled on January 29 off the oil in the EU Parliament the draft of the public debate and consideration might be postponed to February 1. Some media analysts believe that Iran postponed consideration of the draft, the intention may be to ease the exchange with the atmosphere of the IAEA Mission.

Iran’s Parliament Energy Committee, said Vice Chairman Su Dani 28, asked the Government to immediately stop oil exports to the EU draft resolution has been drafted by the Energy Commission, the oil.

Mission arrived in Iraq to ease step by step

29, the International Atomic Energy Agency arrived in Tehran Mission, the Mission will be 31 left. IAEA Deputy Director-General Na Keci expressed the hope that Iran cooperate fully with the verification. Iranian Foreign Minister’s visit to the Mission Salehi optimistic. Analysts pointed out that the IAEA should visit invitation from Iran, in Tehran, marking the area of ​​tension has taken an important step. Recently, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Salehi are offered to restart nuclear talks with all parties concerned, the Mission last November to try to understand that the IAEA report, Iran’s nuclear program Iran has access to the Mission to ease relations with the West as an opportunity.

General manager of National Iranian Oil Company Ahmad Le Bani 29, said the oil embargo in response to European Union sanctions, Iran on the one hand the short term the market will open up new oil, the other will increase oil refining capacity, production More petrochemical products.

Analysts believe that Iran immediately cut off oil exports to the EU, will make its foreign exchange loss of oil from the European Union, the current lack of foreign exchange in Iran, Iran’s economy will undoubtedly bring more intense the pain, but in Europe is still looking for oil, oil source the fragile nature of the situation, under a move that could lead to high oil prices, Iran would like to see this, because this area from the high oil prices make up for lost less than the EU market, but can also prove effective countermeasures Iran , making the EU continues to import oil from Iran six months grace period’s plans.

Egypt, , which is on the nuclear issue of Iran to implement every possible delaying tactics performance.

Oil prices will head up both

It is difficult to bring the embargo time.

Arab media also analyzed that, in fact, is not afraid of Iran and the oil embargo from the European Union, because of Iran’s oil exports to Europe of its oil exports account for only about 18% of Iran’s economic and trade relations with Europe and not closely by the EU response to the U.S. initiative launched by the oil sanctions against Iran will not have much effect.

However, sanctions are not a good thing, it will make the two sides head, will suffer.

Saudi Arabia Saudi oil production is about the current 12.5 million barrels / day, of which 9 million -1000 million barrels / day for export, the remaining 250 million barrels / day, while Iran’s oil exports only 200 million barrels / day, Saudi Arabia this excess Iran’s oil production capacity can not export enough to cover arising from missing markets. According to figures released by the U.S. Department of Energy, the first half of 2011, EU imports of crude oil from Iran, only 45 million barrels / day.

The IMF said that if Iran stopped exporting oil retaliatory, the global crude oil prices to rise 20% -30%. Have participated in the Davos Forum, the oil industry executives believe that the Iranian energy market can withstand 260 million barrels / day of crude oil exports reduced by half. This is roughly equivalent to last year, during the civil war reduced Libya’s oil supply. Executives say they believe Iran, Saudi Arabia can make up the gap caused by the embargo.

Hard to find oil southern Europe, the impact of alternative large

Europe is Iran’s second largest oil importer. From the microscopic point of view, Iran introduced measures to invest in Iran oil companies in Europe the greatest impact. Such as Italy’s ENI group had previously said Iran in 2000 and 2001 due to a number of oil contracts owed the company from 1.4 to 1.5 billion U.S. dollars in debt. To this end, the EU sanctions against Iran in making decisions, has said ENI can continue to buy Iranian oil to offset the debt, but the Iranian parliament’s anti-sanctions action may be taken or will result in the development of the situation repeated.

EU imports from Iran every day about 45 million barrels of crude oil, of which Italy, Spain and Greece’s dependence on Iranian oil were the highest daily imports from Iran 18 million, 160,000 and 100,000 barrels of crude oil. Spain’s The article said that the future EU countries may be forced to continue to buy Iranian oil, but had indirectly from the vulture-like middlemen in the purchase. Reuters analysis pointed out that those heavily dependent on oil from Iran, EU countries will lose Iran’s oil had expected to find alternatives to the buffer. Iran’s oil trade with Greece, the Greek government given 60 days to pay delayed payment of preferential terms. Some media analysts pointed out that the Greek government is difficult to find in a short time to provide similar benefits to the country’s oil supply, Greece or the spending on oil imports will be increased.

Iranian financial analyst 士贾拉尔萨 Da Tian also believes that Iran does not wait for the EU a month to cancel the contract, but the first step, take the initiative to repeal the contract with the European Union, the EU did not have time to find alternatives to Iranian oil, is confrontation with the EU’s oil first step, which will result in international oil prices, while high oil prices will be in Europe, especially in southern European countries, damaging the economy.

Sanctions against a long-term increase of force

China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, Associate Man Lam told newspaper reporters that the analysis of the situation in Iraq, the United States is unlikely that the current military action against Iraq. Obama administration policy on Iran are constant changes, and now back to the Bush administration to curb light, the road re-negotiation.

Currently, Western economic sanctions against Iran, long-term impact remains to be seen. If the apparent effect of economic sanctions, quickly spread to Iran’s political, social and other fields, resulting in a mess inside Iran, and even lead to Ahmadinejad to step down, the use of force is unlikely. However, if economic sanctions do not show the expected results, the West may be sanctions plus military both.

It is noteworthy that the current international financial crisis continued to spread, many Western countries in trouble, making disaster one way out of crisis resolution. Some Western countries are likely to be passed by the war crisis and domestic public attention. Structural contradictions between Iraq, spiraling trend from medium to long term, increasing the likelihood of war increases.

Tian Wenlin that Iran is blocking the Strait of Hormuz, which is a break the death problem. Affected in addition to the United States, Europe, and Asia will have profound implications for emerging market countries. Therefore, the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on Iran, is a mind, However, because it is a Therefore, the analysis of the current situation, the Iranian pre-emptive counter-measures that will be the West’s determination to fight in the end.

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